Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 21.145124 24.764197 29.178030 35.081268 42.973417 53.486264 6.917177e+01
2025-01-05 16.213308 20.122761 25.361288 33.222315 45.391529 64.932591 1.026128e+02
2025-01-12 13.282970 17.020437 22.302223 30.794041 45.241998 71.730267 1.347250e+02
2025-01-19 11.411745 14.953632 20.152779 28.949837 45.059692 78.060718 1.737799e+02
2025-01-26 11.421338 15.531646 21.965311 33.878678 58.930033 123.546913 4.348916e+02
2025-02-02 10.885038 15.174857 22.191389 36.053445 68.485285 170.861548 1.089325e+03
2025-02-09 9.818511 13.834008 20.527941 34.139267 67.607692 184.709281 1.806916e+03
2025-02-16 9.379347 13.452792 20.466030 35.458969 75.796852 248.839323 1.041610e+04
2025-02-23 8.812389 12.791273 19.793029 35.291321 79.809146 305.083917 7.857719e+06
2025-03-02 8.313788 12.194199 19.155668 35.055228 83.606768 374.938629 NaN
2025-03-09 7.955484 11.804071 18.858508 35.554908 90.365368 502.825870 NaN
2025-03-16 7.442807 11.098242 17.861209 34.120164 89.272305 554.123483 NaN
2025-03-23 7.071801 10.641989 17.362289 34.001714 94.142108 740.878008 NaN
2025-03-30 6.585800 9.944008 16.305712 32.231607 91.210777 794.607765 NaN
2025-04-06 6.096369 9.209253 15.111388 29.909240 84.896536 750.525346 NaN
2025-04-13 5.696942 8.617047 14.167333 28.142731 80.573582 743.065887 NaN
2025-04-20 5.866030 9.079752 15.464524 32.858853 111.501903 3283.299944 NaN
2025-04-27 5.799096 9.091887 15.799120 34.934745 132.441758 19215.387932 NaN
2025-05-04 5.477030 8.592050 14.944559 33.107752 126.204547 20808.666362 NaN
2025-05-11 5.376244 8.515112 15.038089 34.367591 143.774312 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 5.196049 8.270566 14.722791 34.207609 150.717408 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 5.025009 8.034136 14.405510 33.982281 157.276373 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 4.903859 7.889917 14.292442 34.459136 171.664221 NaN NaN